Expect Kavanaugh To Shift the Court Right. How Far No One Knows.

The discussion over who will fill the Supreme Court vacancy has dominated much of the political conversation since Justice Kennedy announced his retirement from the Supreme Court on June 27.  Last night, Judge Brett Kavanaugh, an obvious choice and the one I predicted in December 2017, was announced as nominee.  When Kennedy’s retirement rumors previously circulated,…

A New Way of Defining Oral Argument Terrain

Oral arguments are one of the more empirically studied areas of Supreme Court decision making.  This may make intuitive sense. Oral arguments are one of the few moments where the justices’ decision making process transpires before members of the public.  Audio of these arguments is recorded and accessible to anyone with an internet connection.  Video…well…

SCOTUS’ Slight Push Back at the End of 2016

Context By many metrics, and even by the Court’s standards, the Supreme Court has been quiet so far during the 2016 Term.  While the Court has naturally taken fewer cases over recent years (exponentially fewer if we look back over the preceding decades), there is context for the most current muted effort. Much of the…

The OSG and More Potential Cases for 2016

With the Supreme Court’s 2016 Term around the corner, there is nowhere near a full slate of cases for the Justices to hear.  While the October and November hearing schedules were released and there are a handful of other granted cases without oral argument dates on the calendar, there are currently only approximately 29 cases (see SCOTUSBlog’s list…

The Lucky Ones: Cert Grants 2016

Sixteen. That is the number of cases that the Supreme Court is currently slated to hear in the 2016 Term.  This number in itself is exceptionally low for this time of year, although in terms of absolute case grants it is not exponentially far behind years past  (see below). For those who follow the Supreme…